Betting Lines
| Spread | WIU -3.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 152.5 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | WIU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | WIU +13 | 173 | Won |
| Massey | WIU -13.5 (-0.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 152.6 (+20.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 91% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 96% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | WIU -7.4 (+5.6) | 152.8 (+20.2) | 82% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | WIU -11.0 (+2.0) | 151.0 (+22.0) | 84% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | WIU -11.0 (+2.0) | 151.7 (+21.3) | 82% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | WIU -10.8 (+2.2) | 153.9 (+19.1) | 84% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | WIU | BALL |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 16-16 | 14-17 |
| Conference | 7-11 | 9-10 |
| Home | 9-6 | 9-5 |
| Away | 7-9 | 4-9 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 1-3 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L3 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 76.8 | 74.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 77.7 | 77.4 |
| Massey | 5.2 (#87) | -2.3 (#220) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.58 (#69) | 0.57 (#141) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.18 (#71) | 0.49 (#153) |
| RPI | 0.646 (#16) | 0.525 (#138) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | WIU | BALL |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 39.3% | 45.2% |
| 3PT% | 36.7% | 41.4% |
| REB / G | 43.6 | 35.7 |
| OREB / G | 14.8 | 8.5 |
| AST / TO | 0.78 | 1.16 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.3% | 54.7% |
| TOV% | 20.3% | 18.3% |
| ORB% | 33.8% | 23.6% |
| FT Rate | 15.1% | 26.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 46.3% | 52.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.7% | 16.3% |
| DRB% | 77.0% | 74.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 29.1% | 25.6% |
Game Analysis
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