Well you know that it's a shame and a pity you were raised up in the city / And you never learned nothing about country ways "Not So Sweet Martha Lorraine" - Country Joe and the Fish
Hilton Coliseum · December 2, 2021
Betting Lines
Spread ISU -27.5 Away covered
O/U 139.5 Over
Model Predictions
Spread Total ISU win
Actual ISU +19 147 Won
Massey ISU -27.4 (-8.4) — —
Massey Totals — 141.9 (+5.1) —
Bradley-Terry — — 100% ✓
Weighted B-T — — 100% ✓
Efficiency Plus ML ★ ISU -22.5 (-3.5) 142.0 (+5.0) 90% ✓
Baseline Tuned ML ISU -21.8 (-2.8) 141.7 (+5.3) 91% ✓
Baseline ML ISU -25.6 (-6.6) 142.8 (+4.2) 91% ✓
Baseline Plus ML ISU -24.1 (-5.1) 142.8 (+4.2) 91% ✓

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Nov 29, 2020 ISU 80 – 63 UAPB

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings ISU UAPB
Overall 22-13 7-24
Conference 7-11 5-13
Home 14-5 5-7
Away 4-6 2-17
Neutral 4-2 0-0
Last 5 5-0 0-5
Streak L1 L2
Avg Pts For 65.6 64.9
Avg Pts Against 62.5 79.3
Massey 11.0 (#32) -10.3 (#333)
Bradley-Terry 4.42 (#1) -2.57 (#332)
W. Bradley-Terry 7.87 (#1) -3.93 (#331)
RPI 0.645 (#17) 0.437 (#269)
Shooting & Four Factors ISU UAPB
FG% 45.9% 36.8%
3PT% 34.1% 28.2%
REB / G 37.5 27.6
OREB / G 11.2 7.7
AST / TO 1.05 0.53
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 52.1% 44.0%
TOV% 20.0% 20.2%
ORB% 31.6% 19.8%
FT Rate 21.3% 17.1%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 43.1% 60.5%
Opp TOV% 26.4% 20.1%
DRB% 72.8% 65.6%
Opp FT Rate 25.9% 23.3%

Game Analysis

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