Betting Lines
| Spread | LSU -11.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 144.0 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | LSU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | LSU +15 | 117 | Won |
| Massey | LSU -23.2 (-8.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 138.4 (-21.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 94% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 97% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | LSU -15.3 (-0.3) | 138.7 (-21.7) | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | LSU -18.1 (-3.1) | 141.8 (-24.8) | 89% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | LSU -18.1 (-3.1) | 141.4 (-24.4) | 89% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | LSU -17.7 (-2.7) | 141.7 (-24.7) | 86% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | LSU | OHIO |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 22-12 | 25-10 |
| Conference | 9-9 | 14-6 |
| Home | 15-2 | 15-2 |
| Away | 3-8 | 8-6 |
| Neutral | 4-2 | 2-2 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.6 | 73.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 63.4 | 67.9 |
| Massey | 21.7 (#2) | 4.6 (#94) |
| Bradley-Terry | 3.33 (#9) | 1.80 (#60) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 4.66 (#17) | 2.78 (#47) |
| RPI | 0.693 (#7) | 0.597 (#55) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | LSU | OHIO |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 47.1% | 43.5% |
| 3PT% | 33.8% | 36.4% |
| REB / G | 40.1 | 30.8 |
| OREB / G | 12.4 | 10.6 |
| AST / TO | 1.16 | 1.61 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.9% | 50.9% |
| TOV% | 17.8% | 13.4% |
| ORB% | 35.5% | 28.8% |
| FT Rate | 22.5% | 14.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 40.7% | 52.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 28.6% | 22.2% |
| DRB% | 72.4% | 69.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 17.8% | 21.6% |
Game Analysis
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