Betting Lines
| Spread | UAB -12.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 138.0 Under |
| Money | UAB -600 ETSU +450 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UAB win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UAB +14 | 126 | Won |
| Massey | UAB -14.5 (-0.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 139.7 (-13.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 81% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 88% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UAB -11.7 (+2.3) | 139.1 (-13.1) | 81% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UAB -13.2 (+0.8) | 140.4 (-14.4) | 84% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UAB -12.8 (+1.2) | 140.6 (-14.6) | 84% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UAB -13.0 (+1.0) | 138.4 (-12.4) | 85% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 12, 2020 | UAB 65 – 61 ETSU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UAB | ETSU |
|---|---|---|
| Neutral | 4-2 | 3-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 4-1 |
| Massey | 11.7 (#28) | 3.3 (#116) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.69 (#61) | 1.52 (#74) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.82 (#45) | 2.38 (#64) |
| RPI | 0.605 (#48) | 0.622 (#30) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UAB | ETSU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 47.1% | 40.4% |
| 3PT% | 37.0% | 30.8% |
| REB / G | 35.7 | 34.8 |
| OREB / G | 11.7 | 12.2 |
| AST / TO | 1.16 | 0.91 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.3% | 47.8% |
| TOV% | 17.0% | 20.4% |
| ORB% | 33.2% | 34.1% |
| FT Rate | 21.2% | 12.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.9% | 49.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 28.5% | 20.2% |
| DRB% | 70.2% | 66.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.6% | 17.1% |
Game Analysis
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