Betting Lines
| Spread | UAB -3.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 135.0 Under |
| Money | ETSU +145 UAB -165 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | ETSU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UAB +4 | 126 | Lost |
| Massey | UAB -7.2 (+3.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 126.8 (-0.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 30% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 47% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UAB -5.5 (+1.5) | 136.1 (-10.1) | 22% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UAB -4.6 (+0.6) | 131.6 (-5.6) | 31% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UAB -5.7 (+1.7) | 132.0 (-6.0) | 21% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UAB -8.3 (+4.3) | 135.9 (-9.9) | 19% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 2, 2021 | UAB 70 – 56 ETSU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | ETSU | UAB |
|---|---|---|
| Neutral | 2-3 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 1-2 | 4-0 |
| Massey | -1.6 (#176) | 12.0 (#21) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.35 (#184) | 1.74 (#47) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.72 (#124) | 2.35 (#53) |
| RPI | 0.450 (#202) | 0.568 (#72) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | ETSU | UAB |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 35.5% | 49.0% |
| 3PT% | 22.2% | 33.3% |
| REB / G | 36.3 | 41.8 |
| OREB / G | 10.0 | 10.8 |
| AST / TO | 0.45 | 0.87 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 40.4% | 53.9% |
| TOV% | 26.4% | 15.7% |
| ORB% | 28.8% | 30.9% |
| FT Rate | 21.7% | 28.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 42.9% | 35.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 26.9% | 26.5% |
| DRB% | 71.2% | 70.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 26.1% | 17.7% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.