Betting Lines
| Spread | UNA -21.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 140.0 Under |
| Money | UNA -2400 MVSU +1200 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UNA win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UNA +14 | 130 | Won |
| Massey | UNA -24.0 (-10.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 137.5 (-7.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 93% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 97% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UNA -17.4 (-3.4) | 140.6 (-10.6) | 90% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UNA -15.7 (-1.7) | 136.9 (-6.9) | 89% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UNA -15.7 (-1.7) | 138.7 (-8.7) | 90% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UNA -17.3 (-3.3) | 140.3 (-10.3) | 91% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 19, 2022 | MVSU 76 – 68 UNA |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UNA | MVSU |
|---|---|---|
| Neutral | 0-2 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 1-3 | 0-4 |
| Massey | -2.4 (#224) | -20.3 (#358) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.27 (#207) | -1.57 (#296) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.39 (#208) | -2.41 (#299) |
| RPI | 0.515 (#160) | 0.459 (#240) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UNA | MVSU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 34.7% | 30.6% |
| 3PT% | 31.5% | 26.1% |
| REB / G | 32.8 | 30.2 |
| OREB / G | 11.2 | 11.2 |
| AST / TO | 0.68 | 0.80 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 40.5% | 35.3% |
| TOV% | 20.0% | 20.2% |
| ORB% | 29.6% | 24.9% |
| FT Rate | 18.1% | 20.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.8% | 62.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 22.8% | 22.2% |
| DRB% | 63.7% | 61.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 30.0% | 29.5% |
Game Analysis
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