Betting Lines
| Spread | UNA -9.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 134.5 Over |
| Money | MVSU +400 UNA -450 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MVSU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MVSU +8 | 144 | Won |
| Massey | UNA -13.3 (+21.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 139.4 (+4.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 16% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 7% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | UNA -6.1 (+14.1) | 144.6 (-0.6) | 30% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UNA -5.9 (+13.9) | 139.1 (+4.9) | 30% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UNA -6.6 (+14.6) | 143.2 (+0.8) | 22% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 2, 2021 | UNA 72 – 58 MVSU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MVSU | UNA |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 5-27 | 18-15 |
| Conference | 4-14 | 10-8 |
| Home | 4-6 | 9-4 |
| Away | 1-19 | 8-10 |
| Neutral | 0-2 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 0-4 | 1-0 |
| Streak | L2 | L4 |
| Avg Pts For | 61.0 | 71.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 74.8 | 76.5 |
| Massey | -17.8 (#360) | 3.9 (#106) |
| Bradley-Terry | -2.16 (#337) | 1.18 (#84) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -3.16 (#331) | 1.58 (#93) |
| RPI | 0.420 (#251) | 0.375 (#289) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MVSU | UNA |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 36.5% | 50.0% |
| 3PT% | 31.1% | 52.6% |
| REB / G | 27.2 | 46.0 |
| OREB / G | 7.8 | 16.0 |
| AST / TO | 0.37 | 0.88 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 40.0% | 58.6% |
| TOV% | 24.0% | 23.7% |
| ORB% | 22.0% | 45.7% |
| FT Rate | 25.0% | 27.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.3% | 53.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.7% | 15.3% |
| DRB% | 52.7% | 75.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 27.2% | 14.3% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.