Betting Lines
| Spread | BRWN -2.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 132.5 Over |
| Money | UML +110 BRWN -130 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UML win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | BRWN +10 | 136 | Lost |
| Massey | UML -11.6 (-21.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 128.5 (+7.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 98% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 99% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UML -9.5 (-19.5) | 135.6 (+0.4) | 77% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UML -5.9 (-15.9) | 131.4 (+4.6) | 66% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UML -8.5 (-18.5) | 134.1 (+1.9) | 78% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | UML -9.2 (-19.2) | 133.3 (+2.7) | 78% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 24, 2022 | UML 73 – 62 BRWN |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UML | BRWN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 15-16 | 13-16 |
| Conference | 7-11 | 5-9 |
| Home | 8-6 | 6-7 |
| Away | 6-9 | 6-7 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 1-2 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 67.5 | 69.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 67.9 | 70.7 |
| Massey | 2.5 (#128) | -3.0 (#238) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.34 (#84) | -1.42 (#282) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.90 (#127) | -2.61 (#308) |
| RPI | 0.562 (#89) | 0.463 (#237) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UML | BRWN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.2% | 40.1% |
| 3PT% | 28.3% | 31.5% |
| REB / G | 33.2 | 35.4 |
| OREB / G | 11.2 | 11.6 |
| AST / TO | 1.08 | 0.78 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.3% | 45.6% |
| TOV% | 17.2% | 18.2% |
| ORB% | 28.6% | 30.3% |
| FT Rate | 14.7% | 18.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.6% | 51.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 23.7% | 21.4% |
| DRB% | 68.3% | 74.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 31.2% | 20.4% |
Game Analysis
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