Betting Lines
| Spread | UML -3.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 145.5 Under |
| Money | BRWN +150 UML -150 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | BRWN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UML +11 | 135 | Lost |
| Massey | UML -7.0 (-4.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 147.6 (-12.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 33% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 49% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UML -4.5 (-6.5) | 147.8 (-12.8) | 40% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UML -5.8 (-5.2) | 146.4 (-11.4) | 36% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UML -5.5 (-5.5) | 146.8 (-11.8) | 30% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UML -5.4 (-5.6) | 147.6 (-12.6) | 33% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 2, 2021 | BRWN 73 – 63 UML |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | BRWN | UML |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 14-13 | 26-8 |
| Conference | 7-7 | 11-5 |
| Home | 7-5 | 17-0 |
| Away | 7-8 | 9-8 |
| Neutral | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 1-3 | 2-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.6 | 76.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.3 | 67.1 |
| Massey | -6.8 (#295) | 7.4 (#62) |
| Bradley-Terry | -2.14 (#327) | 0.10 (#174) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.74 (#306) | -0.85 (#215) |
| RPI | 0.234 (#360) | 0.550 (#114) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | BRWN | UML |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.2% | 50.0% |
| 3PT% | 31.5% | 37.3% |
| REB / G | 32.8 | 42.0 |
| OREB / G | 8.8 | 13.7 |
| AST / TO | 0.90 | 1.02 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.3% | 55.7% |
| TOV% | 20.4% | 23.2% |
| ORB% | 24.0% | 39.8% |
| FT Rate | 18.9% | 15.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 56.6% | 41.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 24.0% | 19.3% |
| DRB% | 85.0% | 66.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.2% | 31.7% |
Game Analysis
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