Betting Lines
| Spread | MEM -11.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 141.5 Over |
| Money | UGA +500 MEM -700 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UGA win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UGA +3 | 161 | Won |
| Massey | MEM -9.1 (+12.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 140.5 (+20.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 5% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 0% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MEM -7.3 (+10.3) | 143.2 (+17.8) | 30% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MEM -7.6 (+10.6) | 141.7 (+19.3) | 21% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | MEM -7.4 (+10.4) | 142.2 (+18.8) | 29% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MEM -2.3 (+5.3) | 144.1 (+16.9) | 41% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UGA | MEM |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 6-26 | 22-11 |
| Conference | 1-17 | 13-5 |
| Home | 6-13 | 13-2 |
| Away | 0-10 | 5-6 |
| Neutral | 0-3 | 4-3 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L12 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.8 | 75.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 78.5 | 68.3 |
| Massey | -3.0 (#236) | 12.1 (#27) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.30 (#277) | 3.02 (#17) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.22 (#248) | 5.97 (#3) |
| RPI | 0.455 (#247) | 0.639 (#21) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UGA | MEM |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.0% | 47.7% |
| 3PT% | 30.0% | 36.0% |
| REB / G | 35.3 | 41.5 |
| OREB / G | 9.7 | 13.0 |
| AST / TO | 0.99 | 0.67 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.1% | 53.7% |
| TOV% | 21.1% | 26.5% |
| ORB% | 28.2% | 38.4% |
| FT Rate | 22.1% | 30.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.7% | 40.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.4% | 23.6% |
| DRB% | 72.8% | 65.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 18.8% | 23.7% |
Game Analysis
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