Betting Lines
| Spread | SEA -14.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 146.5 Under |
| Money | SEA -1100 MCN +700 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SEA win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SEA +16 | 140 | Won |
| Massey | SEA -16.0 (+0.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 140.2 (-0.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 96% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SEA -13.5 (+2.5) | 142.5 (-2.5) | 89% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SEA -15.3 (+0.7) | 144.0 (-4.0) | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | SEA -15.1 (+0.9) | 142.4 (-2.4) | 89% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SEA -17.1 (-1.1) | 143.8 (-3.8) | 90% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SEA | MCN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 23-9 | 11-22 |
| Conference | 14-4 | 4-10 |
| Home | 17-2 | 6-5 |
| Away | 6-6 | 2-13 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 3-4 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 73.5 | 73.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 67.5 | 80.2 |
| Massey | 3.2 (#118) | -6.8 (#293) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.51 (#145) | -1.47 (#285) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.46 (#157) | -2.45 (#300) |
| RPI | 0.483 (#203) | 0.477 (#209) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SEA | MCN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.8% | 38.2% |
| 3PT% | 37.8% | 24.8% |
| REB / G | 38.8 | 37.2 |
| OREB / G | 11.0 | 12.8 |
| AST / TO | 1.27 | 0.58 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.3% | 42.7% |
| TOV% | 17.1% | 26.3% |
| ORB% | 31.6% | 31.4% |
| FT Rate | 20.8% | 16.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 46.8% | 47.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.8% | 22.6% |
| DRB% | 77.7% | 62.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 27.1% | 28.9% |
Game Analysis
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