Betting Lines
| Spread | BYU -14.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 138.0 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UVU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UVU +7 | 137 | Won |
| Massey | BYU -2.3 (+9.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 143.3 (-6.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 30% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 6% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UVU -0.2 (+6.8) | 141.2 (-4.2) | 62% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | BYU -2.6 (+9.6) | 145.3 (-8.3) | 36% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UVU -1.7 (+5.3) | 143.6 (-6.6) | 46% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | UVU -1.6 (+5.4) | 142.8 (-5.8) | 66% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 8, 2022 | UVU 75 – 60 BYU |
| Nov 29, 2020 | BYU 82 – 60 UVU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UVU | BYU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 20-12 | 24-11 |
| Conference | 10-8 | 9-6 |
| Home | 11-2 | 14-3 |
| Away | 6-9 | 6-5 |
| Neutral | 3-1 | 4-3 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 5-0 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.7 | 73.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 65.7 | 69.0 |
| Massey | 4.3 (#99) | 12.6 (#25) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.58 (#68) | 3.69 (#4) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.68 (#91) | 5.91 (#5) |
| RPI | 0.517 (#153) | 0.714 (#2) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UVU | BYU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 48.9% | 45.3% |
| 3PT% | 33.0% | 27.2% |
| REB / G | 40.0 | 42.8 |
| OREB / G | 11.8 | 13.6 |
| AST / TO | 0.82 | 1.38 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.0% | 50.0% |
| TOV% | 22.6% | 15.7% |
| ORB% | 36.6% | 37.6% |
| FT Rate | 26.1% | 24.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 46.3% | 41.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.5% | 15.0% |
| DRB% | 73.2% | 75.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 14.0% | 21.3% |
Game Analysis
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