Betting Lines
| Spread | BYU -6.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 143.5 Under |
| Money | BYU -275 UVU +275 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | BYU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UVU +15 | 135 | Lost |
| Massey | BYU -4.7 (-19.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 149.4 (-14.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 81% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 75% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | BYU -3.6 (-18.6) | 150.3 (-15.3) | 68% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | BYU -5.2 (-20.2) | 148.4 (-13.4) | 70% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | BYU -3.9 (-18.9) | 147.2 (-12.2) | 67% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | BYU -3.5 (-18.5) | 148.8 (-13.8) | 68% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 2, 2021 | UVU 72 – 65 BYU |
| Nov 29, 2020 | BYU 82 – 60 UVU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | BYU | UVU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 19-15 | 28-9 |
| Conference | 7-9 | 15-3 |
| Home | 12-4 | 14-1 |
| Away | 2-7 | 12-5 |
| Neutral | 4-4 | 2-3 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 74.1 | 76.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 70.1 | 69.6 |
| Massey | -0.3 (#187) | 0.4 (#177) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.27 (#205) | -0.63 (#243) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.18 (#194) | -0.06 (#182) |
| RPI | 0.476 (#211) | 0.477 (#208) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | BYU | UVU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.1% | 41.0% |
| 3PT% | 30.2% | 27.9% |
| REB / G | 41.0 | 39.1 |
| OREB / G | 13.4 | 11.0 |
| AST / TO | 0.84 | 1.09 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.7% | 46.4% |
| TOV% | 22.5% | 17.2% |
| ORB% | 34.9% | 29.1% |
| FT Rate | 22.0% | 27.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.2% | 47.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.5% | 16.0% |
| DRB% | 74.7% | 70.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.9% | 16.6% |
Game Analysis
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