Betting Lines
| Spread | OAK -5.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 136.5 Over |
| Money | UIC +190 OAK -230 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UIC win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | OAK +4 | 158 | Lost |
| Massey | OAK -1.2 (-2.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 132.4 (+25.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 8% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 9% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | OAK -2.5 (-1.5) | 137.5 (+20.5) | 36% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | OAK -2.2 (-1.8) | 138.6 (+19.4) | 42% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | OAK -3.2 (-0.8) | 138.7 (+19.3) | 39% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | OAK -2.0 (-2.0) | 137.4 (+20.6) | 37% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 29, 2022 | OAK 81 – 74 UIC |
| Dec 20, 2020 | UIC 90 – 73 OAK |
| Dec 20, 2020 | UIC 74 – 72 OAK |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UIC | OAK |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 14-16 | 20-12 |
| Conference | 9-10 | 12-7 |
| Home | 6-6 | 10-3 |
| Away | 8-8 | 7-8 |
| Neutral | 0-2 | 3-1 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 71.3 | 72.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 73.7 | 69.8 |
| Massey | -1.4 (#204) | 5.9 (#76) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.02 (#261) | 2.67 (#23) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.07 (#248) | 2.78 (#53) |
| RPI | 0.411 (#300) | 0.731 (#1) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UIC | OAK |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.8% | 42.3% |
| 3PT% | 34.1% | 24.4% |
| REB / G | 30.2 | 35.7 |
| OREB / G | 7.6 | 10.1 |
| AST / TO | 1.03 | 0.76 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.5% | 47.3% |
| TOV% | 18.1% | 19.7% |
| ORB% | 21.8% | 29.2% |
| FT Rate | 7.0% | 18.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.1% | 46.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.2% | 20.1% |
| DRB% | 70.6% | 68.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 27.4% | 16.7% |
Game Analysis
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