Betting Lines
| Spread | UIC -5.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 141.0 Over |
| Money | UIC -240 OAK +200 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UIC win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UIC +2 | 146 | Won |
| Massey | UIC -15.4 (-13.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 140.4 (+5.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 86% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 92% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UIC -9.8 (-7.8) | 145.3 (+0.7) | 84% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UIC -11.0 (-9.0) | 140.5 (+5.5) | 86% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UIC -10.9 (-8.9) | 139.7 (+6.3) | 86% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UIC -10.5 (-8.5) | 139.4 (+6.6) | 85% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 29, 2022 | OAK 81 – 74 UIC |
| Dec 3, 2021 | OAK 81 – 77 UIC |
| Dec 20, 2020 | UIC 90 – 73 OAK |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UIC | OAK |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 9-13 | 12-18 |
| Conference | 6-10 | 10-10 |
| Home | 7-4 | 5-4 |
| Away | 2-9 | 6-11 |
| Neutral | 0-0 | 1-3 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 67.7 | 74.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.3 | 81.2 |
| Massey | -2.0 (#194) | -12.9 (#312) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.71 (#210) | -1.69 (#270) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.96 (#200) | -2.47 (#269) |
| RPI | 0.420 (#250) | 0.521 (#139) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UIC | OAK |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.9% | 34.0% |
| 3PT% | 34.5% | 31.3% |
| REB / G | 34.8 | 30.0 |
| OREB / G | 7.2 | 10.6 |
| AST / TO | 1.19 | 0.70 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.0% | 41.9% |
| TOV% | 18.4% | 20.2% |
| ORB% | 21.6% | 24.5% |
| FT Rate | 19.5% | 21.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 44.1% | 61.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 14.5% | 21.7% |
| DRB% | 76.2% | 61.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 28.5% | 15.0% |
Game Analysis
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