Betting Lines
| Spread | WRST -3.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 151.5 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | PFW win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | WRST +13 | 159 | Lost |
| Massey | PFW -9.1 (-22.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 152.1 (+6.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 99% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 100% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | PFW -2.9 (-15.9) | 149.7 (+9.3) | 58% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | PFW -5.9 (-18.9) | 149.0 (+10.0) | 73% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | PFW -5.8 (-18.8) | 149.4 (+9.6) | 61% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | PFW -6.1 (-19.1) | 152.7 (+6.3) | 64% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 26, 2026 | WRST 74 – 70 PFW |
| Feb 8, 2026 | WRST 73 – 68 PFW |
| Feb 6, 2025 | PFW 87 – 64 WRST |
| Jan 16, 2025 | PFW 120 – 113 WRST |
| Feb 29, 2024 | PFW 79 – 77 WRST |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | PFW | WRST |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 21-12 | 22-14 |
| Conference | 15-6 | 15-7 |
| Home | 14-2 | 12-3 |
| Away | 6-7 | 7-7 |
| Neutral | 1-3 | 3-4 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 71.6 | 75.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 70.5 | 72.3 |
| Massey | -6.6 (#285) | -9.6 (#325) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.01 (#179) | -3.48 (#350) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.20 (#199) | -5.38 (#352) |
| RPI | 0.458 (#241) | 0.345 (#342) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | PFW | WRST |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.4% | 39.9% |
| 3PT% | 33.6% | 23.6% |
| REB / G | 32.6 | 31.4 |
| OREB / G | 10.2 | 9.0 |
| AST / TO | 0.83 | 0.82 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.0% | 44.2% |
| TOV% | 20.3% | 19.1% |
| ORB% | 28.2% | 23.3% |
| FT Rate | 19.0% | 26.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 56.0% | 54.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 21.6% | 19.0% |
| DRB% | 71.8% | 65.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.1% | 24.8% |
Game Analysis
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