Betting Lines
| Spread | IDST -6.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 132.5 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | IDST win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | PRST +8 | 118 | Lost |
| Massey | IDST -4.9 (-12.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 120.1 (-2.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 86% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 95% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | IDST -2.1 (-10.1) | 127.3 (-9.3) | 51% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | IDST -2.0 (-10.0) | 128.4 (-10.4) | 60% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | IDST -1.4 (-9.4) | 127.6 (-9.6) | 49% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | IDST -1.6 (-9.6) | 124.2 (-6.2) | 40% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 8, 2026 | PRST 85 – 78 IDST |
| Feb 3, 2026 | PRST 88 – 65 IDST |
| Jan 3, 2026 | PRST 93 – 87 IDST |
| Feb 21, 2025 | IDST 82 – 74 PRST |
| Jan 25, 2025 | PRST 76 – 59 IDST |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | IDST | PRST |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 7-23 | 14-17 |
| Conference | 5-15 | 10-10 |
| Home | 5-8 | 7-7 |
| Away | 2-14 | 5-9 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 2-1 |
| Last 5 | 0-5 | 0-3 |
| Streak | L3 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 62.4 | 71.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.0 | 73.6 |
| Massey | -10.9 (#338) | -9.7 (#326) |
| Bradley-Terry | -2.45 (#328) | -3.07 (#340) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -3.32 (#324) | -4.74 (#343) |
| RPI | 0.362 (#334) | 0.376 (#324) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | IDST | PRST |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 37.5% | 33.3% |
| 3PT% | 27.8% | 18.1% |
| REB / G | 28.0 | 40.0 |
| OREB / G | 8.6 | 13.7 |
| AST / TO | 0.66 | 0.53 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 44.6% | 36.6% |
| TOV% | 24.4% | 22.7% |
| ORB% | 25.4% | 29.5% |
| FT Rate | 22.6% | 12.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 57.2% | 49.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.2% | 17.6% |
| DRB% | 71.3% | 65.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 16.7% | 17.3% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.