Betting Lines
| Spread | MONT -5.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 131.0 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SAC win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MONT +7 | 123 | Lost |
| Massey | SAC -6.6 (-13.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 137.5 (-14.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 82% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 79% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SAC -2.4 (-9.4) | 134.9 (-11.9) | 46% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SAC -1.6 (-8.6) | 138.7 (-15.7) | 62% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | SAC -1.8 (-8.8) | 138.3 (-15.3) | 51% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SAC -2.4 (-9.4) | 138.5 (-15.5) | 53% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 27, 2026 | MONT 81 – 73 SAC |
| Feb 1, 2026 | SAC 86 – 79 MONT |
| Feb 28, 2025 | MONT 60 – 54 SAC |
| Feb 1, 2025 | MONT 87 – 59 SAC |
| Feb 23, 2024 | MONT 68 – 61 SAC |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SAC | MONT |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 11-18 | 18-14 |
| Conference | 6-14 | 11-9 |
| Home | 6-8 | 14-3 |
| Away | 4-9 | 4-10 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L3 |
| Avg Pts For | 64.5 | 69.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.2 | 69.7 |
| Massey | -8.7 (#317) | -9.1 (#320) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.12 (#192) | -0.42 (#220) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.11 (#194) | 0.08 (#182) |
| RPI | 0.545 (#113) | 0.473 (#217) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SAC | MONT |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 36.8% | 39.4% |
| 3PT% | 27.1% | 34.1% |
| REB / G | 31.2 | 26.2 |
| OREB / G | 7.6 | 5.0 |
| AST / TO | 0.74 | 1.29 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 41.2% | 46.2% |
| TOV% | 17.2% | 14.6% |
| ORB% | 18.8% | 14.4% |
| FT Rate | 20.3% | 30.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.2% | 55.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.5% | 20.8% |
| DRB% | 67.8% | 67.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 34.7% | 24.2% |
Game Analysis
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