Betting Lines
| Spread | WEB -15.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 143.5 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | WEB win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | WEB +23 | 111 | Won |
| Massey | WEB -20.0 (+3.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 136.6 (-25.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | WEB -15.4 (+7.6) | 142.5 (-31.5) | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | WEB -13.9 (+9.1) | 143.1 (-32.1) | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | WEB -15.0 (+8.0) | 143.4 (-32.4) | 86% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | WEB -15.4 (+7.6) | 144.2 (-33.2) | 87% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 8, 2026 | WEB 72 – 53 NAU |
| Jan 9, 2026 | WEB 78 – 65 NAU |
| Feb 4, 2025 | WEB 77 – 73 NAU |
| Jan 4, 2025 | NAU 80 – 77 WEB |
| Mar 2, 2024 | WEB 85 – 58 NAU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | WEB | NAU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 21-12 | 9-23 |
| Conference | 13-7 | 5-15 |
| Home | 9-6 | 5-10 |
| Away | 8-5 | 3-11 |
| Neutral | 4-1 | 1-2 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L8 |
| Avg Pts For | 75.2 | 65.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.7 | 74.8 |
| Massey | 8.3 (#47) | -5.6 (#269) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.94 (#16) | -0.58 (#236) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 4.15 (#21) | -0.48 (#216) |
| RPI | 0.590 (#64) | 0.458 (#242) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | WEB | NAU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 52.4% | 41.9% |
| 3PT% | 39.2% | 31.9% |
| REB / G | 32.0 | 37.5 |
| OREB / G | 5.2 | 10.8 |
| AST / TO | 1.00 | 0.83 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 59.7% | 48.6% |
| TOV% | 17.6% | 22.5% |
| ORB% | 17.9% | 29.7% |
| FT Rate | 23.8% | 29.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.2% | 50.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 22.2% | 13.9% |
| DRB% | 70.5% | 71.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 13.1% | 24.9% |
Game Analysis
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