Betting Lines
| Spread | LIB -5.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 125.5 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | LIB win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | LIB +21 | 111 | Won |
| Massey | LIB -12.5 (+8.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 122.3 (-11.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 84% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 85% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | LIB -7.3 (+13.7) | 123.5 (-12.5) | 75% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | LIB -7.6 (+13.4) | 130.3 (-19.3) | 76% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | LIB -8.2 (+12.8) | 130.2 (-19.2) | 78% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | LIB -8.3 (+12.7) | 127.9 (-16.9) | 76% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 10, 2020 | MIZ 69 – 60 LIB |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | LIB | MIZ |
|---|---|---|
| Neutral | 3-5 | 2-3 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 2-3 |
| Massey | 0.2 (#171) | -6.2 (#279) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.02 (#181) | -0.45 (#226) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.45 (#213) | -0.72 (#228) |
| RPI | 0.522 (#140) | 0.468 (#225) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | LIB | MIZ |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.0% | 40.2% |
| 3PT% | 30.1% | 27.6% |
| REB / G | 31.2 | 37.5 |
| OREB / G | 7.6 | 12.3 |
| AST / TO | 0.72 | 0.78 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.2% | 44.7% |
| TOV% | 21.4% | 21.2% |
| ORB% | 24.5% | 32.5% |
| FT Rate | 19.2% | 21.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.8% | 51.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.2% | 20.6% |
| DRB% | 74.7% | 76.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 18.7% | 19.1% |
Game Analysis
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