Betting Lines
| Spread | MIZ -10.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 130.5 Under |
| Money | MIZ -550 LIB +425 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MIZ win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MIZ +9 | 129 | Won |
| Massey | MIZ -15.4 (-6.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 146.0 (-17.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MIZ -10.6 (-1.6) | 138.5 (-9.5) | 82% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MIZ -13.5 (-4.5) | 145.0 (-16.0) | 86% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | MIZ -13.0 (-4.0) | 144.2 (-15.2) | 84% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MIZ -13.5 (-4.5) | 143.9 (-14.9) | 83% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 3, 2021 | LIB 66 – 45 MIZ |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MIZ | LIB |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 16-10 | 23-6 |
| Conference | 8-8 | 11-2 |
| Home | 8-4 | 13-0 |
| Away | 6-4 | 5-3 |
| Neutral | 2-2 | 5-3 |
| Last 5 | 3-0 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 73.4 | 72.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.9 | 62.5 |
| Massey | 13.5 (#14) | 5.0 (#78) |
| Bradley-Terry | 3.21 (#4) | 0.12 (#148) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 5.56 (#2) | 0.22 (#145) |
| RPI | 0.725 (#14) | 0.554 (#85) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MIZ | LIB |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 49.2% | 47.7% |
| 3PT% | 32.9% | 37.4% |
| REB / G | 39.7 | 27.4 |
| OREB / G | 10.3 | 5.6 |
| AST / TO | 1.43 | 1.36 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 56.1% | 58.7% |
| TOV% | 16.5% | 17.3% |
| ORB% | 31.6% | 19.6% |
| FT Rate | 23.8% | 17.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 41.8% | 50.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.3% | 18.8% |
| DRB% | 68.8% | 72.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 19.5% | 23.0% |
Game Analysis
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