Betting Lines
| Spread | MICH -8.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 126.5 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MICH win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MICH +14 | 130 | Won |
| Massey | MICH -8.1 (+5.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 115.4 (+14.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 66% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 77% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MICH -6.3 (+7.7) | 128.2 (+1.8) | 78% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MICH -6.1 (+7.9) | 125.7 (+4.3) | 67% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | MICH -5.7 (+8.3) | 126.4 (+3.6) | 69% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MICH -6.6 (+7.4) | 128.8 (+1.2) | 71% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 25, 2025 | MICH 94 – 54 SDSU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MICH | SDSU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 19-15 | 23-9 |
| Conference | 11-9 | 13-4 |
| Home | 10-5 | 14-1 |
| Away | 5-7 | 5-5 |
| Neutral | 4-3 | 4-3 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.6 | 65.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.4 | 58.1 |
| Massey | 6.4 (#72) | 4.1 (#97) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.79 (#115) | 1.29 (#83) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.80 (#84) | 1.92 (#79) |
| RPI | 0.550 (#102) | 0.572 (#77) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MICH | SDSU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.1% | 40.7% |
| 3PT% | 29.4% | 27.6% |
| REB / G | 37.7 | 36.1 |
| OREB / G | 10.3 | 10.0 |
| AST / TO | 0.88 | 0.92 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.1% | 45.2% |
| TOV% | 21.5% | 17.7% |
| ORB% | 32.6% | 28.5% |
| FT Rate | 26.4% | 26.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 44.9% | 41.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 14.9% | 19.6% |
| DRB% | 73.3% | 69.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 13.8% | 18.5% |
Game Analysis
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