Betting Lines
| Spread | MICH -6.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 148.5 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MICH win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MICH +40 | 148 | Won |
| Massey | MICH -8.6 (+31.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 158.4 (-10.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 95% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 95% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MICH -7.6 (+32.4) | 157.4 (-9.4) | 81% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MICH -8.9 (+31.1) | 151.7 (-3.7) | 83% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | MICH -9.4 (+30.6) | 152.3 (-4.3) | 78% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MICH -7.4 (+32.6) | 154.1 (-6.1) | 79% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 4, 2021 | MICH 72 – 58 SDSU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MICH | SDSU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 37-3 | 22-11 |
| Conference | 19-1 | 14-6 |
| Home | 14-1 | 14-2 |
| Away | 11-0 | 5-5 |
| Neutral | 12-2 | 3-4 |
| Last 5 | 4-0 | 2-1 |
| Streak | W6 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 87.3 | 76.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.5 | 71.3 |
| Massey | 16.2 (#12) | 7.6 (#70) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.67 (#24) | -0.32 (#210) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 3.56 (#33) | 0.52 (#150) |
| RPI | 0.697 (#10) | 0.385 (#318) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MICH | SDSU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 50.4% | 49.2% |
| 3PT% | 32.7% | 41.3% |
| REB / G | 45.5 | 36.7 |
| OREB / G | 11.5 | 12.3 |
| AST / TO | 1.33 | 1.09 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 56.9% | 56.5% |
| TOV% | 19.3% | 20.9% |
| ORB% | 35.9% | 37.0% |
| FT Rate | 28.6% | 32.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 42.7% | 47.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.0% | 24.0% |
| DRB% | 74.7% | 65.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 17.2% | 25.0% |
Game Analysis
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