They were all in love with dying, they we're doing it in Texas. "Pepper" - Butthole Surfers
Big Sky Conference · ICCU Arena · December 4, 2021
Betting Lines
Spread SUU -16.5 Home covered
O/U 152.5 Over
Model Predictions
Spread Total IDHO win
Actual SUU +6 156 Lost
Massey SUU -15.2 (+9.2)
Massey Totals 160.5 (-4.5)
Bradley-Terry 2%
Weighted B-T 0%
Baseline Plus ML SUU -10.2 (+4.2) 154.9 (+1.1) 16%
Baseline ML SUU -11.2 (+5.2) 155.9 (+0.1) 16%
Baseline Tuned ML SUU -11.7 (+5.7) 156.6 (-0.6) 17%
Efficiency Plus ML SUU -13.4 (+7.4) 157.2 (-1.2) 13%

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Nov 23, 2024 SUU 8267 IDHO
Feb 4, 2022 SUU 7559 IDHO
Jan 9, 2021 SUU 8367 IDHO
Jan 8, 2021 SUU 8580 IDHO

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings IDHO SUU
Overall 9-22 23-12
Conference 6-14 14-6
Home 8-7 13-3
Away 1-12 8-8
Neutral 0-3 2-1
Last 5 0-5 3-2
Streak L1 L1
Avg Pts For 71.9 75.9
Avg Pts Against 80.3 72.8
Massey -18.3 (#357) 2.7 (#125)
Bradley-Terry -4.09 (#357) 1.03 (#96)
W. Bradley-Terry -5.38 (#353) 1.58 (#94)
RPI 0.357 (#336) 0.529 (#130)
Shooting & Four Factors IDHO SUU
FG% 35.8% 42.5%
3PT% 33.6% 27.8%
REB / G 31.5 40.5
OREB / G 9.3 11.8
AST / TO 0.80 0.73
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 42.4% 48.7%
TOV% 19.4% 19.5%
ORB% 22.6% 29.8%
FT Rate 27.8% 23.7%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 55.0% 50.3%
Opp TOV% 17.1% 17.1%
DRB% 63.6% 77.5%
Opp FT Rate 28.3% 22.7%

Game Analysis

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