Betting Lines
| Spread | SUU -13.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 142.5 Over |
| Money | SUU -1100 IDHO +700 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SUU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SUU +5 | 165 | Won |
| Massey | SUU -18.4 (-13.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 155.2 (+9.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SUU -14.6 (-9.6) | 148.8 (+16.2) | 89% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | SUU -13.7 (-8.7) | 151.2 (+13.8) | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SUU -12.9 (-7.9) | 150.0 (+15.0) | 89% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SUU -13.8 (-8.8) | 147.3 (+17.7) | 89% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 23, 2024 | SUU 82 – 67 IDHO |
| Feb 4, 2022 | SUU 75 – 59 IDHO |
| Dec 4, 2021 | SUU 81 – 75 IDHO |
| Jan 9, 2021 | SUU 83 – 67 IDHO |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SUU | IDHO |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 20-4 | 1-21 |
| Conference | 12-2 | 1-17 |
| Home | 14-0 | 1-9 |
| Away | 5-3 | 0-11 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 79.6 | 61.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 73.3 | 76.5 |
| Massey | 0.8 (#148) | -14.2 (#330) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.75 (#117) | -3.78 (#336) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.49 (#145) | -5.57 (#337) |
| RPI | 0.549 (#93) | 0.287 (#339) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SUU | IDHO |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.4% | 41.7% |
| 3PT% | 34.4% | 35.5% |
| REB / G | 38.2 | 30.4 |
| OREB / G | 12.2 | 7.4 |
| AST / TO | 1.28 | 0.78 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.0% | 48.4% |
| TOV% | 16.4% | 24.9% |
| ORB% | 32.1% | 22.0% |
| FT Rate | 29.5% | 17.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 54.3% | 51.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.8% | 17.4% |
| DRB% | 82.3% | 67.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.7% | 25.7% |
Game Analysis
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