Betting Lines
| Spread | SUU -15.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 156.0 Under |
| Money | SUU -1600 IDHO +850 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SUU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SUU +16 | 134 | Won |
| Massey | SUU -12.5 (+3.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 162.3 (-28.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 96% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 96% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SUU -10.3 (+5.7) | 160.3 (-26.3) | 86% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | SUU -11.1 (+4.9) | 159.0 (-25.0) | 86% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SUU -10.8 (+5.2) | 157.9 (-23.9) | 87% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SUU -12.4 (+3.6) | 155.8 (-21.8) | 88% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 23, 2024 | SUU 82 – 67 IDHO |
| Dec 4, 2021 | SUU 81 – 75 IDHO |
| Jan 9, 2021 | SUU 83 – 67 IDHO |
| Jan 8, 2021 | SUU 85 – 80 IDHO |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SUU | IDHO |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 23-12 | 9-22 |
| Conference | 14-6 | 6-14 |
| Home | 13-3 | 8-7 |
| Away | 8-8 | 1-12 |
| Neutral | 2-1 | 0-3 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 75.9 | 71.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.8 | 80.3 |
| Massey | -1.4 (#198) | -10.7 (#326) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.26 (#156) | -2.29 (#335) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.18 (#157) | -2.43 (#322) |
| RPI | 0.506 (#166) | 0.394 (#333) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SUU | IDHO |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.6% | 41.8% |
| 3PT% | 32.2% | 36.6% |
| REB / G | 38.5 | 33.9 |
| OREB / G | 9.9 | 8.9 |
| AST / TO | 0.85 | 0.85 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.2% | 48.6% |
| TOV% | 18.0% | 18.5% |
| ORB% | 27.1% | 24.1% |
| FT Rate | 25.0% | 26.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.9% | 54.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.7% | 15.1% |
| DRB% | 76.4% | 72.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 18.8% | 24.8% |
Game Analysis
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