Betting Lines
| Spread | SUU -14.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 146.0 Over |
| Money | SUU -1300 IDHO +800 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SUU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SUU +16 | 150 | Won |
| Massey | SUU -14.7 (+1.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 157.8 (-7.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SUU -13.6 (+2.4) | 149.4 (+0.6) | 86% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | SUU -11.7 (+4.3) | 152.1 (-2.1) | 86% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SUU -11.1 (+4.9) | 151.0 (-1.0) | 87% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SUU -11.6 (+4.4) | 142.8 (+7.2) | 86% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 23, 2024 | SUU 82 – 67 IDHO |
| Feb 4, 2022 | SUU 75 – 59 IDHO |
| Dec 4, 2021 | SUU 81 – 75 IDHO |
| Jan 8, 2021 | SUU 85 – 80 IDHO |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SUU | IDHO |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 20-4 | 1-21 |
| Conference | 12-2 | 1-17 |
| Home | 14-0 | 1-9 |
| Away | 5-3 | 0-11 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 79.6 | 61.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 73.3 | 76.5 |
| Massey | -1.2 (#182) | -12.8 (#327) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.73 (#117) | -4.29 (#341) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.46 (#149) | -6.35 (#344) |
| RPI | 0.509 (#152) | 0.318 (#333) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SUU | IDHO |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.7% | 43.3% |
| 3PT% | 34.4% | 36.8% |
| REB / G | 37.2 | 30.8 |
| OREB / G | 12.2 | 7.1 |
| AST / TO | 1.34 | 0.83 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.4% | 50.0% |
| TOV% | 15.4% | 24.3% |
| ORB% | 31.7% | 21.8% |
| FT Rate | 30.4% | 19.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 55.5% | 51.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.3% | 16.5% |
| DRB% | 82.0% | 68.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 26.9% | 26.9% |
Game Analysis
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