Betting Lines
| Spread | CLE -4.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 144.0 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | CLE win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | CLE +10 | 160 | Won |
| Massey | CLE -10.9 (-0.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 141.7 (+18.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 93% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 97% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | CLE -6.2 (+3.8) | 143.3 (+16.7) | 75% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | CLE -6.2 (+3.8) | 142.9 (+17.1) | 78% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | CLE -6.0 (+4.0) | 142.5 (+17.5) | 74% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | CLE -7.8 (+2.2) | 144.2 (+15.8) | 79% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 5, 2026 | WRST 90 – 61 CLE |
| Feb 15, 2026 | WRST 102 – 90 CLE |
| Jan 22, 2026 | CLE 85 – 79 WRST |
| Feb 28, 2025 | WRST 82 – 76 CLE |
| Dec 29, 2024 | CLE 78 – 64 WRST |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | CLE | WRST |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 20-11 | 22-14 |
| Conference | 15-6 | 15-7 |
| Home | 15-3 | 12-3 |
| Away | 5-7 | 7-7 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 3-4 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 74.9 | 75.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.0 | 72.3 |
| Massey | -1.6 (#212) | -6.7 (#287) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.30 (#209) | -1.77 (#308) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.29 (#203) | -2.39 (#295) |
| RPI | 0.468 (#225) | 0.405 (#304) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | CLE | WRST |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.9% | 44.2% |
| 3PT% | 25.9% | 25.4% |
| REB / G | 34.0 | 31.7 |
| OREB / G | 9.0 | 8.3 |
| AST / TO | 1.39 | 0.86 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.7% | 48.5% |
| TOV% | 16.6% | 19.4% |
| ORB% | 26.3% | 23.8% |
| FT Rate | 23.2% | 25.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 45.2% | 53.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 21.6% | 17.9% |
| DRB% | 64.8% | 67.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.2% | 25.1% |
Game Analysis
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