Betting Lines
| Spread | CLT -6.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 131.5 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | CLT win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | CLT +7 | 165 | Won |
| Massey | CLT -7.6 (-0.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 132.8 (+32.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 96% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 93% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | CLT -5.4 (+1.6) | 136.9 (+28.1) | 78% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | CLT -6.0 (+1.0) | 138.4 (+26.6) | 71% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | CLT -6.8 (+0.2) | 138.0 (+27.0) | 72% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | CLT -6.8 (+0.2) | 138.9 (+26.1) | 73% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 22, 2020 | CLT 66 – 65 GW |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | CLT | GW |
|---|---|---|
| Neutral | 0-4 | 1-3 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 1-4 |
| Massey | -3.8 (#243) | -5.6 (#269) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.45 (#143) | -1.65 (#299) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.94 (#241) | -2.22 (#288) |
| RPI | 0.526 (#135) | 0.384 (#323) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | CLT | GW |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.3% | 40.2% |
| 3PT% | 33.8% | 27.5% |
| REB / G | 30.0 | 33.4 |
| OREB / G | 7.0 | 8.7 |
| AST / TO | 1.32 | 0.74 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.3% | 44.8% |
| TOV% | 15.8% | 19.0% |
| ORB% | 21.6% | 23.8% |
| FT Rate | 18.6% | 16.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 54.9% | 45.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.7% | 18.6% |
| DRB% | 76.7% | 67.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.3% | 26.6% |
Game Analysis
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