Betting Lines
| Spread | CLT -2.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 137.0 Under |
| Money | GW +120 CLT -140 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | GW win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | CLT +1 | 131 | Lost |
| Massey | GW -0.8 (-1.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 141.0 (-10.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 10% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 2% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | GW -1.2 (-2.2) | 134.8 (-3.8) | 40% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | CLT -0.1 (-0.9) | 137.4 (-6.4) | 45% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | CLT -0.1 (-0.9) | 137.3 (-6.3) | 45% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | CLT -0.4 (-0.6) | 136.3 (-5.3) | 43% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 4, 2021 | CLT 86 – 79 GW |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | GW | CLT |
|---|---|---|
| Neutral | 1-1 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 3-2 |
| Massey | -4.7 (#237) | -1.0 (#171) |
| Bradley-Terry | -2.89 (#319) | 0.10 (#154) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -3.35 (#295) | 1.50 (#101) |
| RPI | 0.288 (#326) | 0.453 (#206) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | GW | CLT |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.6% | 45.2% |
| 3PT% | 33.9% | 31.9% |
| REB / G | 37.7 | 31.8 |
| OREB / G | 10.0 | 6.5 |
| AST / TO | 0.77 | 1.11 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.1% | 51.2% |
| TOV% | 21.6% | 18.0% |
| ORB% | 29.4% | 22.4% |
| FT Rate | 27.6% | 28.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.5% | 46.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.9% | 19.1% |
| DRB% | 71.2% | 76.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 15.2% | 20.9% |
Game Analysis
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