Betting Lines
| Spread | SIE -3.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 126.5 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SIE win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MAN +5 | 149 | Lost |
| Massey | MAN -2.6 (-2.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 132.2 (+16.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 24% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 25% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MAN -2.6 (-2.4) | 132.4 (+16.6) | 38% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MAN -2.0 (-3.0) | 137.7 (+11.3) | 37% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | MAN -2.5 (-2.5) | 136.6 (+12.4) | 35% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MAN -2.5 (-2.5) | 134.8 (+14.2) | 35% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 17, 2026 | SIE 74 – 59 MAN |
| Mar 8, 2025 | MAN 78 – 66 SIE |
| Jan 4, 2025 | SIE 103 – 95 MAN |
| Mar 2, 2024 | MAN 70 – 68 SIE |
| Feb 11, 2024 | SIE 68 – 63 MAN |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SIE | MAN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 15-14 | 15-15 |
| Conference | 12-8 | 8-12 |
| Home | 8-5 | 8-5 |
| Away | 7-8 | 4-9 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 3-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L3 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 66.3 | 69.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.2 | 73.7 |
| Massey | -10.7 (#333) | -2.2 (#225) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.43 (#280) | 0.85 (#110) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.93 (#280) | 0.52 (#146) |
| RPI | 0.438 (#270) | 0.541 (#117) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SIE | MAN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 39.6% | 45.0% |
| 3PT% | 34.4% | 28.2% |
| REB / G | 33.9 | 33.0 |
| OREB / G | 9.4 | 11.0 |
| AST / TO | 0.86 | 0.76 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 46.6% | 48.9% |
| TOV% | 21.0% | 23.7% |
| ORB% | 26.6% | 33.7% |
| FT Rate | 17.0% | 29.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.1% | 47.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.6% | 23.2% |
| DRB% | 72.2% | 64.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.6% | 21.4% |
Game Analysis
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