Betting Lines
| Spread | UTEP -1.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 135.5 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UTEP win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | NMSU +3 | 141 | Lost |
| Massey | UTEP -3.8 (-6.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 137.2 (+3.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 38% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 25% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UTEP -1.7 (-4.7) | 138.2 (+2.8) | 50% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UTEP -3.3 (-6.3) | 139.4 (+1.6) | 60% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | UTEP -2.6 (-5.6) | 140.3 (+0.7) | 60% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UTEP -2.4 (-5.4) | 139.7 (+1.3) | 60% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 22, 2026 | NMSU 67 – 63 UTEP |
| Feb 8, 2026 | UTEP 91 – 88 NMSU |
| Feb 9, 2025 | UTEP 66 – 63 NMSU |
| Jan 12, 2025 | NMSU 85 – 57 UTEP |
| Feb 11, 2024 | UTEP 74 – 49 NMSU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UTEP | NMSU |
|---|---|---|
| Neutral | 1-2 | 5-2 |
| Last 5 | 2-2 | 3-2 |
| Massey | 0.1 (#180) | 2.1 (#132) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.50 (#230) | 1.15 (#91) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.77 (#230) | 1.65 (#88) |
| RPI | 0.410 (#300) | 0.611 (#40) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UTEP | NMSU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 37.4% | 45.5% |
| 3PT% | 27.0% | 36.0% |
| REB / G | 34.0 | 35.5 |
| OREB / G | 11.2 | 8.8 |
| AST / TO | 0.72 | 1.07 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 42.6% | 54.2% |
| TOV% | 19.6% | 18.5% |
| ORB% | 30.0% | 27.9% |
| FT Rate | 23.9% | 25.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.7% | 48.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 25.0% | 12.7% |
| DRB% | 75.8% | 74.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 32.8% | 25.2% |
Game Analysis
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