Betting Lines
| Spread | FUR -7.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 162.0 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | FUR win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | FUR +3 | 179 | Won |
| Massey | FUR -11.1 (-8.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 173.9 (+5.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 75% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 90% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | FUR -10.6 (-7.6) | 158.4 (+20.6) | 79% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | FUR -8.9 (-5.9) | 160.2 (+18.8) | 80% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | FUR -9.4 (-6.4) | 162.4 (+16.6) | 81% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | FUR -8.8 (-5.8) | 162.7 (+16.3) | 79% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 5, 2020 | FUR 81 – 57 COFC |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | FUR | COFC |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 22-12 | 17-15 |
| Conference | 12-6 | 8-10 |
| Home | 12-3 | 9-6 |
| Away | 8-8 | 7-8 |
| Neutral | 2-1 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 76.4 | 78.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 68.8 | 76.4 |
| Massey | 6.0 (#78) | 0.7 (#165) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.51 (#74) | 1.56 (#69) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.48 (#63) | 1.60 (#92) |
| RPI | 0.554 (#95) | 0.556 (#93) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | FUR | COFC |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.5% | 39.9% |
| 3PT% | 38.0% | 36.4% |
| REB / G | 37.2 | 42.9 |
| OREB / G | 9.7 | 15.6 |
| AST / TO | 1.27 | 0.95 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.7% | 46.7% |
| TOV% | 18.1% | 19.1% |
| ORB% | 26.2% | 34.8% |
| FT Rate | 18.8% | 22.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.5% | 52.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.2% | 21.4% |
| DRB% | 74.0% | 78.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 16.2% | 29.4% |
Game Analysis
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