Betting Lines
| Spread | FUR -7.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 140.0 Under |
| Money | COFC +260 FUR -320 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | COFC win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | FUR +24 | 138 | Lost |
| Massey | COFC -5.7 (-29.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 146.5 (-8.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 79% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 84% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | COFC -0.9 (-24.9) | 145.2 (-7.2) | 58% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | FUR -1.5 (-22.5) | 142.8 (-4.8) | 50% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | FUR -4.6 (-19.4) | 147.0 (-9.0) | 44% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 4, 2021 | FUR 91 – 88 COFC |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | COFC | FUR |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 9-10 | 16-9 |
| Conference | 6-4 | 10-5 |
| Home | 8-6 | 11-1 |
| Away | 1-3 | 5-7 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 0-1 | 1-0 |
| Streak | L2 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 68.0 | 78.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.8 | 70.5 |
| Massey | -0.1 (#136) | 3.6 (#85) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.28 (#161) | 0.20 (#131) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.22 (#150) | 0.24 (#132) |
| RPI | 0.458 (#162) | 0.417 (#188) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | COFC | FUR |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 40.0% | 53.8% |
| 3PT% | 34.8% | 36.4% |
| REB / G | 34.0 | 41.0 |
| OREB / G | 8.0 | 8.0 |
| AST / TO | 0.87 | 0.95 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 46.7% | 61.5% |
| TOV% | 20.9% | 25.0% |
| ORB% | 20.0% | 27.6% |
| FT Rate | 6.7% | 51.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 42.3% | 43.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 12.1% | 26.3% |
| DRB% | 60.5% | 73.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 26.8% | 7.6% |
Game Analysis
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