Betting Lines
| Spread | PRIN -3.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 142.0 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | PRIN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | PRIN +2 | 160 | Won |
| Massey | PRIN -7.6 (-5.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 151.7 (+8.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 92% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 97% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | PRIN -5.2 (-3.2) | 147.7 (+12.3) | 73% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | PRIN -6.9 (-4.9) | 150.4 (+9.6) | 76% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | PRIN -7.0 (-5.0) | 151.3 (+8.7) | 73% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | PRIN -6.9 (-4.9) | 151.9 (+8.1) | 73% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 6, 2023 | PRIN 81 – 70 DREX |
| Dec 3, 2022 | PRIN 83 – 63 DREX |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | PRIN | DREX |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 23-7 | 15-14 |
| Conference | 12-2 | 10-8 |
| Home | 13-1 | 8-4 |
| Away | 8-4 | 6-7 |
| Neutral | 2-2 | 1-3 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 78.6 | 71.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.0 | 70.1 |
| Massey | 2.5 (#128) | 0.8 (#160) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.89 (#108) | -0.36 (#219) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.02 (#117) | -1.06 (#247) |
| RPI | 0.539 (#118) | 0.456 (#248) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | PRIN | DREX |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.0% | 46.5% |
| 3PT% | 36.7% | 35.3% |
| REB / G | 37.9 | 33.0 |
| OREB / G | 8.7 | 8.8 |
| AST / TO | 1.28 | 1.08 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 55.0% | 52.3% |
| TOV% | 16.5% | 17.2% |
| ORB% | 24.5% | 26.1% |
| FT Rate | 16.7% | 20.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.1% | 53.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 12.1% | 17.0% |
| DRB% | 76.7% | 78.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 13.9% | 21.4% |
Game Analysis
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