Betting Lines
| Spread | PRIN -8.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 128.5 Over |
| Money | PRIN -355 DREX +278 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | PRIN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | PRIN +11 | 151 | Won |
| Massey | PRIN -16.4 (-5.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 116.5 (+34.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | PRIN -13.3 (-2.3) | 129.0 (+22.0) | 86% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | PRIN -14.1 (-3.1) | 129.9 (+21.1) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | PRIN -13.4 (-2.4) | 130.7 (+20.3) | 83% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | PRIN -13.2 (-2.2) | 130.7 (+20.3) | 84% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 3, 2022 | PRIN 83 – 63 DREX |
| Dec 4, 2021 | PRIN 81 – 79 DREX |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | PRIN | DREX |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 24-5 | 20-12 |
| Conference | 12-2 | 13-5 |
| Home | 12-1 | 13-1 |
| Away | 11-3 | 6-10 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 76.3 | 71.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 68.1 | 67.1 |
| Massey | 13.4 (#17) | 2.7 (#127) |
| Bradley-Terry | 4.66 (#1) | 0.71 (#124) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 6.49 (#2) | 0.69 (#144) |
| RPI | 0.685 (#5) | 0.517 (#150) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | PRIN | DREX |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.2% | 43.4% |
| 3PT% | 34.2% | 26.7% |
| REB / G | 33.0 | 39.9 |
| OREB / G | 9.9 | 10.6 |
| AST / TO | 1.44 | 0.87 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 54.3% | 47.9% |
| TOV% | 14.1% | 19.4% |
| ORB% | 30.9% | 31.6% |
| FT Rate | 22.0% | 20.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.8% | 40.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.5% | 13.7% |
| DRB% | 72.3% | 74.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 18.9% | 21.9% |
Game Analysis
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