Betting Lines
| Spread | WYO -19.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 144.0 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | WYO win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | WYO +21 | 137 | Won |
| Massey | WYO -28.7 (-7.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 137.9 (-0.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | WYO -24.0 (-3.0) | 144.2 (-7.2) | 90% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | WYO -23.1 (-2.1) | 142.2 (-5.2) | 91% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | WYO -25.3 (-4.3) | 139.3 (-2.3) | 91% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | WYO -26.9 (-5.9) | 141.2 (-4.2) | 90% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | WYO | MCN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 25-9 | 11-22 |
| Conference | 13-5 | 4-10 |
| Home | 14-1 | 6-5 |
| Away | 8-5 | 2-13 |
| Neutral | 3-3 | 3-4 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 71.5 | 73.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 65.7 | 80.2 |
| Massey | 15.6 (#13) | -7.2 (#296) |
| Bradley-Terry | 4.04 (#1) | -1.47 (#283) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 5.83 (#4) | -2.27 (#291) |
| RPI | 0.596 (#54) | 0.487 (#201) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | WYO | MCN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 50.6% | 38.9% |
| 3PT% | 33.6% | 26.2% |
| REB / G | 39.5 | 38.7 |
| OREB / G | 8.7 | 12.7 |
| AST / TO | 1.05 | 0.48 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 56.7% | 43.5% |
| TOV% | 14.9% | 27.8% |
| ORB% | 26.4% | 31.8% |
| FT Rate | 26.8% | 19.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 39.8% | 47.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.2% | 20.9% |
| DRB% | 74.6% | 66.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 17.5% | 30.5% |
Game Analysis
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