Betting Lines
| Spread | KU -7.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 157.5 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SJU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | KU +20 | 170 | Lost |
| Massey | KU -2.0 (-18.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 173.6 (-3.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 35% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 7% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SJU -0.7 (-20.7) | 159.3 (+10.7) | 44% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | KU -1.4 (-18.6) | 157.0 (+13.0) | 36% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | KU -0.1 (-19.9) | 162.0 (+8.0) | 37% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | KU -0.4 (-19.6) | 159.9 (+10.1) | 41% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 22, 2026 | SJU 67 – 65 KU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SJU | KU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 17-15 | 34-6 |
| Conference | 8-11 | 14-4 |
| Home | 13-6 | 19-1 |
| Away | 4-8 | 6-4 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 9-1 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | W11 |
| Avg Pts For | 79.6 | 78.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 74.2 | 67.2 |
| Massey | 7.2 (#64) | 15.0 (#14) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.37 (#149) | 2.15 (#44) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.69 (#137) | 4.66 (#11) |
| RPI | 0.484 (#208) | 0.630 (#25) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SJU | KU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 50.7% | 52.1% |
| 3PT% | 34.0% | 36.6% |
| REB / G | 38.5 | 34.2 |
| OREB / G | 11.8 | 10.7 |
| AST / TO | 1.36 | 1.70 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 57.0% | 57.6% |
| TOV% | 20.6% | 14.2% |
| ORB% | 34.3% | 33.9% |
| FT Rate | 24.3% | 19.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.3% | 50.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 24.7% | 20.7% |
| DRB% | 68.7% | 73.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 18.3% | 19.2% |
Game Analysis
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