Betting Lines
| Spread | SJU -3.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 144.5 Under |
| Money | KU +145 SJU -175 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | KU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SJU +2 | 132 | Lost |
| Massey | SJU -1.7 (-0.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 144.4 (-12.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 53% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 47% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SJU -0.4 (-1.6) | 141.1 (-9.1) | 39% ✓ |
| Model 4 ML ★ | SJU -0.5 (-1.5) | 144.5 (-12.5) | 38% ✓ |
| Model 3 ML | SJU -1.6 (-0.4) | 139.6 (-7.6) | 43% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | SJU -2.0 (-0.0) | 137.2 (-5.2) | 34% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 4, 2021 | KU 95 – 75 SJU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | KU | SJU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 24-11 | 30-7 |
| Conference | 12-6 | 18-2 |
| Home | 13-2 | 18-2 |
| Away | 5-6 | 9-1 |
| Neutral | 6-3 | 3-4 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 5-0 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 75.1 | 80.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.1 | 69.6 |
| Massey | 17.8 (#21) | 19.4 (#17) |
| Bradley-Terry | 3.43 (#14) | 3.32 (#17) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 4.02 (#18) | 4.12 (#16) |
| RPI | 0.626 (#10) | 0.624 (#12) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | KU | SJU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.2% | 45.4% |
| 3PT% | 34.6% | 33.3% |
| REB / G | 38.9 | 38.8 |
| OREB / G | 10.1 | 13.1 |
| AST / TO | 1.33 | 1.55 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.3% | 51.1% |
| TOV% | 15.4% | 14.7% |
| ORB% | 29.3% | 35.9% |
| FT Rate | 24.8% | 30.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 45.1% | 47.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 13.9% | 19.1% |
| DRB% | 69.9% | 70.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 19.1% | 22.4% |
Game Analysis
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