Betting Lines
| Spread | VT -9.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 135.5 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | VT win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | WAKE +19 | 141 | Lost |
| Massey | VT -12.7 (-31.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 138.9 (+2.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 88% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 97% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | VT -11.6 (-30.6) | 140.1 (+0.9) | 78% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | VT -8.9 (-27.9) | 140.5 (+0.5) | 82% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | VT -8.6 (-27.6) | 140.7 (+0.3) | 74% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | VT -8.9 (-27.9) | 142.0 (-1.0) | 72% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 10, 2026 | WAKE 95 – 89 VT |
| Feb 21, 2026 | VT 82 – 63 WAKE |
| Jan 3, 2026 | WAKE 81 – 78 VT |
| Jan 18, 2025 | WAKE 72 – 63 VT |
| Mar 2, 2024 | VT 87 – 76 WAKE |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | VT | WAKE |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 23-13 | 25-10 |
| Conference | 11-9 | 13-7 |
| Home | 11-4 | 18-2 |
| Away | 7-6 | 5-6 |
| Neutral | 5-3 | 2-2 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.8 | 78.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 62.8 | 70.1 |
| Massey | 14.2 (#17) | 7.4 (#61) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.20 (#38) | 1.36 (#80) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 4.27 (#19) | 1.99 (#75) |
| RPI | 0.589 (#64) | 0.515 (#152) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | VT | WAKE |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.7% | 48.5% |
| 3PT% | 40.6% | 36.4% |
| REB / G | 34.9 | 35.5 |
| OREB / G | 8.2 | 8.8 |
| AST / TO | 1.36 | 1.03 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.3% | 56.0% |
| TOV% | 15.5% | 18.9% |
| ORB% | 25.2% | 26.3% |
| FT Rate | 16.4% | 25.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 41.5% | 46.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 21.8% | 22.0% |
| DRB% | 75.8% | 72.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 14.9% | 18.4% |
Game Analysis
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