Betting Lines
| Spread | BAY -41.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 141.5 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | BAY win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | BAY +45 | 153 | Won |
| Massey | BAY -32.9 (+12.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 150.0 (+3.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | BAY -24.8 (+20.2) | 149.0 (+4.0) | 91% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | BAY -28.5 (+16.5) | 149.2 (+3.8) | 91% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | BAY -32.2 (+12.8) | 149.3 (+3.7) | 91% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | BAY -33.4 (+11.6) | 152.1 (+0.9) | 91% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 22, 2020 | BAY 99 – 42 UAPB |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | BAY | UAPB |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 27-7 | 7-24 |
| Conference | 14-4 | 5-13 |
| Home | 15-2 | 5-7 |
| Away | 8-3 | 2-17 |
| Neutral | 4-2 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 77.0 | 64.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 64.1 | 79.3 |
| Massey | 17.4 (#6) | -9.7 (#326) |
| Bradley-Terry | 3.45 (#6) | -2.63 (#332) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 5.69 (#5) | -4.03 (#335) |
| RPI | 0.617 (#31) | 0.459 (#243) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | BAY | UAPB |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 47.9% | 37.1% |
| 3PT% | 33.5% | 28.0% |
| REB / G | 41.0 | 27.4 |
| OREB / G | 14.9 | 7.5 |
| AST / TO | 1.55 | 0.52 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.7% | 44.3% |
| TOV% | 17.3% | 21.0% |
| ORB% | 39.5% | 20.1% |
| FT Rate | 14.5% | 20.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 44.9% | 59.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 28.7% | 19.3% |
| DRB% | 75.3% | 63.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 18.9% | 23.4% |
Game Analysis
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