Betting Lines
| Spread | BU -12.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 132.0 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | BU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | BU +5 | 131 | Won |
| Massey | BU -15.3 (-10.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 134.1 (-3.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 96% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | BU -11.9 (-6.9) | 137.1 (-6.1) | 85% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | BU -12.8 (-7.8) | 138.7 (-7.7) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | BU -13.2 (-8.2) | 139.0 (-8.0) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | BU -13.1 (-8.1) | 137.8 (-6.8) | 87% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | BU | BING |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 22-13 | 12-17 |
| Conference | 11-7 | 8-10 |
| Home | 11-4 | 5-8 |
| Away | 8-8 | 7-9 |
| Neutral | 3-1 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.1 | 65.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 67.9 | 69.9 |
| Massey | 4.7 (#91) | -4.7 (#259) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.68 (#121) | -1.48 (#284) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.96 (#119) | -2.49 (#301) |
| RPI | 0.510 (#157) | 0.426 (#280) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | BU | BING |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.6% | 41.1% |
| 3PT% | 34.5% | 30.4% |
| REB / G | 33.2 | 35.0 |
| OREB / G | 9.4 | 11.2 |
| AST / TO | 0.75 | 0.74 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.8% | 46.7% |
| TOV% | 23.0% | 19.3% |
| ORB% | 31.2% | 29.2% |
| FT Rate | 25.6% | 13.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.7% | 51.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.9% | 17.8% |
| DRB% | 74.9% | 67.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.8% | 25.7% |
Game Analysis
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