Betting Lines
| Spread | SPU -2.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 136.0 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | QUIN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SPU +10 | 128 | Lost |
| Massey | SPU -0.6 (-9.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 146.4 (-18.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 51% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 38% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SPU -2.2 (-7.8) | 141.9 (-13.9) | 41% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SPU -0.3 (-9.7) | 145.5 (-17.5) | 51% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | SPU -0.6 (-9.4) | 144.4 (-16.4) | 53% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | QUIN -0.2 (-10.2) | 145.2 (-17.2) | 52% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 15, 2026 | SPU 74 – 70 QUIN |
| Mar 1, 2025 | QUIN 69 – 64 SPU |
| Jan 4, 2025 | QUIN 59 – 46 SPU |
| Mar 15, 2024 | SPU 62 – 60 QUIN |
| Mar 9, 2024 | QUIN 89 – 74 SPU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | QUIN | SPU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 14-17 | 22-12 |
| Conference | 7-13 | 14-6 |
| Home | 8-7 | 9-4 |
| Away | 4-9 | 7-7 |
| Neutral | 2-1 | 6-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 1-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.8 | 66.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.1 | 62.9 |
| Massey | -8.7 (#316) | -2.2 (#222) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.81 (#314) | -0.71 (#240) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.82 (#314) | -0.96 (#244) |
| RPI | 0.363 (#334) | 0.472 (#220) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | QUIN | SPU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.2% | 39.4% |
| 3PT% | 30.6% | 33.3% |
| REB / G | 32.6 | 32.5 |
| OREB / G | 9.2 | 11.2 |
| AST / TO | 1.02 | 0.78 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.8% | 44.9% |
| TOV% | 18.5% | 23.5% |
| ORB% | 25.8% | 29.0% |
| FT Rate | 20.9% | 19.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.5% | 54.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.2% | 24.8% |
| DRB% | 70.5% | 78.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.5% | 48.1% |
Game Analysis
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