Betting Lines
| Spread | BYU -2.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 140.0 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MOST win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | BYU +6 | 142 | Lost |
| Massey | BYU -0.3 (-5.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 143.4 (-1.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 11% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 6% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MOST -0.8 (-6.8) | 144.0 (-2.0) | 56% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | BYU -0.8 (-5.2) | 141.0 (+1.0) | 36% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MOST -2.0 (-8.0) | 143.4 (-1.4) | 49% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | MOST -1.1 (-7.1) | 143.3 (-1.3) | 58% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 17, 2022 | BYU 66 – 64 MOST |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MOST | BYU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 23-11 | 24-11 |
| Conference | 13-5 | 9-6 |
| Home | 12-4 | 14-3 |
| Away | 8-5 | 6-5 |
| Neutral | 3-2 | 4-3 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 76.5 | 73.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.3 | 69.0 |
| Massey | 4.9 (#90) | 11.1 (#28) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.58 (#236) | 2.71 (#21) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.30 (#205) | 3.75 (#28) |
| RPI | 0.415 (#294) | 0.681 (#8) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MOST | BYU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 48.7% | 42.7% |
| 3PT% | 38.0% | 26.9% |
| REB / G | 34.0 | 44.5 |
| OREB / G | 8.6 | 13.8 |
| AST / TO | 1.22 | 1.30 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 56.3% | 47.4% |
| TOV% | 16.6% | 16.3% |
| ORB% | 27.0% | 35.6% |
| FT Rate | 23.7% | 23.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.8% | 39.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.2% | 14.5% |
| DRB% | 74.8% | 75.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.6% | 24.4% |
Game Analysis
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