Betting Lines
| Spread | EWU -6.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 147.5 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | OMA win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | EWU +11 | 173 | Lost |
| Massey | EWU -9.9 (-1.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 144.4 (+28.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 11% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 3% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | EWU -10.4 (-0.6) | 148.7 (+24.3) | 15% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | EWU -7.3 (-3.7) | 145.8 (+27.2) | 22% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | EWU -6.5 (-4.5) | 145.1 (+27.9) | 18% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | EWU -6.3 (-4.7) | 145.6 (+27.4) | 20% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | OMA | EWU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 5-25 | 18-16 |
| Conference | 4-14 | 11-9 |
| Home | 5-9 | 9-3 |
| Away | 0-15 | 8-11 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 1-2 |
| Last 5 | 0-5 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L3 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.7 | 75.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 84.4 | 75.3 |
| Massey | -16.0 (#352) | -0.3 (#185) |
| Bradley-Terry | -2.83 (#335) | 0.47 (#141) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -4.43 (#337) | 0.38 (#159) |
| RPI | 0.388 (#322) | 0.509 (#159) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | OMA | EWU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 33.9% | 40.8% |
| 3PT% | 31.5% | 35.8% |
| REB / G | 30.2 | 38.5 |
| OREB / G | 9.3 | 10.3 |
| AST / TO | 0.68 | 0.89 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 40.3% | 49.0% |
| TOV% | 20.1% | 22.1% |
| ORB% | 22.9% | 27.2% |
| FT Rate | 12.0% | 29.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 57.3% | 48.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.5% | 15.9% |
| DRB% | 66.1% | 71.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.6% | 26.7% |
Game Analysis
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