Betting Lines
| Spread | WIU -12.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 149.5 Under |
| Money | WIU -900 UTM +600 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | WIU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | WIU +17 | 145 | Won |
| Massey | WIU -18.4 (-1.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 143.6 (+1.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 98% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | WIU -12.3 (+4.7) | 145.2 (-0.2) | 86% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | WIU -13.3 (+3.7) | 146.8 (-1.8) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | WIU -14.0 (+3.0) | 147.6 (-2.6) | 86% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | WIU -14.4 (+2.6) | 148.5 (-3.5) | 87% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 31, 2026 | UTM 84 – 44 WIU |
| Jan 1, 2026 | UTM 67 – 60 WIU |
| Feb 8, 2025 | UTM 81 – 70 WIU |
| Jan 10, 2025 | UTM 85 – 83 WIU |
| Feb 10, 2024 | UTM 62 – 59 WIU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | WIU | UTM |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 16-16 | 8-22 |
| Conference | 7-11 | 4-14 |
| Home | 9-6 | 5-8 |
| Away | 7-9 | 2-13 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L3 | L7 |
| Avg Pts For | 76.8 | 66.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 77.7 | 74.9 |
| Massey | 5.0 (#87) | -7.6 (#305) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.25 (#85) | -1.63 (#297) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.73 (#85) | -2.91 (#321) |
| RPI | 0.604 (#48) | 0.425 (#281) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | WIU | UTM |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 40.5% | 43.6% |
| 3PT% | 38.2% | 33.1% |
| REB / G | 42.2 | 34.2 |
| OREB / G | 14.7 | 9.3 |
| AST / TO | 0.86 | 0.74 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.9% | 49.9% |
| TOV% | 18.7% | 20.7% |
| ORB% | 34.1% | 25.3% |
| FT Rate | 16.8% | 9.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.5% | 51.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.6% | 18.0% |
| DRB% | 75.0% | 67.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 30.5% | 21.9% |
Game Analysis
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