Betting Lines
| Spread | UTM -10.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 137.5 Under |
| Money | WIU +425 UTM -575 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | WIU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UTM +40 | 128 | Lost |
| Massey | UTM -11.1 (-28.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 131.9 (-3.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 4% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 2% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UTM -9.2 (-30.8) | 129.8 (-1.8) | 16% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UTM -10.3 (-29.7) | 130.9 (-2.9) | 15% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UTM -9.9 (-30.1) | 130.4 (-2.4) | 16% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UTM -9.8 (-30.2) | 130.7 (-2.7) | 16% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 1, 2026 | UTM 67 – 60 WIU |
| Feb 8, 2025 | UTM 81 – 70 WIU |
| Jan 10, 2025 | UTM 85 – 83 WIU |
| Feb 10, 2024 | UTM 62 – 59 WIU |
| Jan 12, 2024 | WIU 73 – 64 UTM |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | WIU | UTM |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 5-26 | 22-11 |
| Conference | 1-19 | 13-7 |
| Home | 4-11 | 12-3 |
| Away | 1-15 | 8-6 |
| Neutral | 0-0 | 2-2 |
| Last 5 | 0-5 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L5 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 63.2 | 67.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 78.5 | 64.7 |
| Massey | -16.4 (#353) | -2.2 (#197) |
| Bradley-Terry | -3.57 (#360) | 0.31 (#138) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -4.65 (#360) | -0.14 (#176) |
| RPI | 0.356 (#360) | 0.512 (#145) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | WIU | UTM |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 39.2% | 43.0% |
| 3PT% | 29.4% | 31.8% |
| REB / G | 32.5 | 38.5 |
| OREB / G | 10.9 | 12.6 |
| AST / TO | 0.63 | 0.84 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 43.7% | 50.3% |
| TOV% | 17.5% | 22.2% |
| ORB% | 29.6% | 36.8% |
| FT Rate | 26.1% | 29.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.5% | 46.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.7% | 18.1% |
| DRB% | 66.5% | 68.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 27.3% | 25.6% |
Game Analysis
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