Lord Lucan is missing. "Lord Lucan is Missing" - The Dodgems
Levien Gymnasium · December 4, 2021
Betting Lines
Spread COLU -5.5 Home covered
O/U 127.0 Over
Model Predictions
Spread Total COLU win
Actual COLU +11 143 Won
Massey COLU -14.2 (-3.2) — —
Massey Totals — 136.2 (+6.8) —
Bradley-Terry — — 88% ✓
Weighted B-T — — 94% ✓
Efficiency Plus ML ★ COLU -11.9 (-0.9) 132.9 (+10.1) 87% ✓
Baseline Tuned ML COLU -10.1 (+0.9) 134.2 (+8.8) 84% ✓
Baseline ML COLU -11.0 (+0.0) 136.2 (+6.8) 87% ✓
Baseline Plus ML COLU -11.7 (-0.7) 134.8 (+8.2) 84% ✓

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Nov 25, 2023 COLU 75 – 56 ME
Nov 19, 2022 ME 93 – 70 COLU

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings COLU ME
Overall 4-22 6-23
Conference 1-13 3-15
Home 3-10 5-9
Away 1-12 1-14
Neutral 0-0 0-0
Last 5 1-4 0-4
Streak L12 L3
Avg Pts For 66.6 60.7
Avg Pts Against 79.5 73.8
Massey -13.4 (#346) -21.7 (#359)
Bradley-Terry -3.21 (#344) -4.02 (#356)
W. Bradley-Terry -4.87 (#348) -6.33 (#357)
RPI 0.308 (#352) 0.337 (#345)
Shooting & Four Factors COLU ME
FG% 41.0% 33.0%
3PT% 32.6% 17.8%
REB / G 35.1 28.5
OREB / G 10.6 8.5
AST / TO 0.83 0.56
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 46.7% 36.1%
TOV% 20.0% 24.7%
ORB% 28.1% 23.0%
FT Rate 19.0% 16.5%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 52.9% 59.6%
Opp TOV% 15.0% 19.6%
DRB% 68.0% 69.0%
Opp FT Rate 25.6% 21.6%

Game Analysis

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