Betting Lines
| Spread | ME -1.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 139.0 Under |
| Money | COLU +105 ME -125 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | COLU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | COLU +19 | 131 | Won |
| Massey | COLU -2.6 (+16.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 136.7 (-5.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 86% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 95% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | COLU -1.3 (+17.7) | 135.7 (-4.7) | 58% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | COLU -3.8 (+15.2) | 138.7 (-7.7) | 64% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | COLU -3.5 (+15.5) | 137.7 (-6.7) | 65% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | COLU -3.6 (+15.4) | 137.6 (-6.6) | 63% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 19, 2022 | ME 93 – 70 COLU |
| Dec 4, 2021 | COLU 77 – 66 ME |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | COLU | ME |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 13-14 | 15-17 |
| Conference | 4-10 | 7-9 |
| Home | 9-6 | 8-4 |
| Away | 4-8 | 5-13 |
| Neutral | 0-0 | 2-0 |
| Last 5 | 2-2 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L6 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 73.6 | 66.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 75.3 | 67.7 |
| Massey | -3.5 (#237) | 0.8 (#149) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.13 (#167) | -0.27 (#208) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.28 (#166) | -0.73 (#226) |
| RPI | 0.496 (#180) | 0.480 (#196) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | COLU | ME |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 39.9% | 45.3% |
| 3PT% | 33.0% | 33.0% |
| REB / G | 34.8 | 29.3 |
| OREB / G | 8.8 | 6.7 |
| AST / TO | 1.02 | 1.09 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 46.4% | 50.9% |
| TOV% | 18.0% | 16.6% |
| ORB% | 24.8% | 21.9% |
| FT Rate | 31.3% | 25.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.6% | 51.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.0% | 20.8% |
| DRB% | 71.2% | 71.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.7% | 24.3% |
Game Analysis
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