Betting Lines
| Spread | ME -4.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 142.5 Over |
| Money | ME -163 COLU +175 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | ME win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | ME +23 | 163 | Won |
| Massey | ME -23.5 (-0.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 145.2 (+17.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | ME -12.2 (+10.8) | 151.5 (+11.5) | 83% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | ME -14.2 (+8.8) | 146.0 (+17.0) | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | ME -15.9 (+7.1) | 145.2 (+17.8) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | ME -16.3 (+6.7) | 145.2 (+17.8) | 86% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 25, 2023 | COLU 75 – 56 ME |
| Dec 4, 2021 | COLU 77 – 66 ME |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | ME | COLU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 13-17 | 7-22 |
| Conference | 7-9 | 2-12 |
| Home | 8-4 | 6-9 |
| Away | 5-12 | 1-13 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 1-1 | 1-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 66.5 | 65.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 70.7 | 77.3 |
| Massey | 1.3 (#158) | -13.8 (#353) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.74 (#46) | -2.05 (#333) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.40 (#60) | -3.77 (#347) |
| RPI | 0.731 (#21) | 0.360 (#300) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | ME | COLU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.0% | 36.9% |
| 3PT% | 37.8% | 26.5% |
| REB / G | 32.5 | 32.0 |
| OREB / G | 7.0 | 10.2 |
| AST / TO | 0.96 | 0.64 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.5% | 43.0% |
| TOV% | 19.0% | 24.4% |
| ORB% | 20.9% | 27.7% |
| FT Rate | 12.4% | 27.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.8% | 55.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 14.1% | 22.0% |
| DRB% | 68.0% | 63.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 18.7% | 12.9% |
Game Analysis
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